Prevalence of pancreatic cancer will push the treatment market to $2.9 bn by 2021

The treatment market for pancreatic cancer is set to grow from its current level of $1.9 billion to an impressive $2.9 billion by 2021, driven primarily by an increased prevalence of the disease, says business intelligence provider GBI Research.


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The company's latest report states that this rise, which will occur across the eight major countries of the US, the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Japan and Canada, will come despite developments in diagnostics and a pipeline of promising new drugs.

Mr Adam Bradbury, analyst for GBI Research, says that there are six pancreatic cancer drugs expected to gain approval within the forecast period, all of which have demonstrated significant improvement in progression-free survival and/or overall survival in clinical trials.

He explains: "The six drugs expected to gain approval within the forecast period are Threshold's TH-302, Merrimack's Onivyde (in Europe), NewLink Genetic's HyperAcute Pancreas, Cancer Advances' G17DT, Immunomedics' Clivatuzumab Tetraxetan, and Incyte's Ruxolitinib Phosphate.

"However, these drugs are not expected to significantly impact the market because of their high cost-to-benefit ratio, which will severely limit their sales by 2021."

The report also states that as pancreatic cancer is a disease with a very poor prognosis, developing drugs with adequate cost-to-benefit ratios is very difficult, and this is reflected in the disease's high attrition rate of 91% over all three phases of clinical trials.


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